Russia will not be able to wage a long war with Ukraine. The appropriate forecast was announced by the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate, Kyrylo Budanov.
A full-scale war will not drag on for years. Why Russia is unable to conduct long-term operations on the battlefield and whether the Armed Forces' counteroffensive will continue with the arrival of winter.
The war with Russia will not drag out for years, as predicted by many military and political analysts. Based on the information about the aggressor that the General Directorate of Intelligence has at its disposal, Russia does not have long-term resources that are depleted day by day.
The head of the GUR of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Kyrylo Budanov is convinced that the war between the Russian Federation and Ukraine will not last long.
I do not share the opinion that it will be a long war. This is my personal opinion, based on an analysis of the data we have primarily on the enemy.
According to him, the Russians are physically incapable of long-term operations. Budanov noted that his position remains a subjective opinion, but he is persistent in it. At the same time, he added that everyone has their own idea about the length of the conditions.
But again, if you're talking about half a year, about seven months, about a year, and you think that's a long period of time – then it's pretty clear that you'd be right.
According to Kyrylo Budanov, the counteroffensive will continue even after the arrival of cold and rainy weather, even though conducting combat operations will become more difficult.
The fight will continue one way or another. It's harder to fight in the cold, wet, and mud. But the counteroffensive will continue.
He added that the counteroffensive is taking place in several directions and admitted that the Ukrainian Defense Forces are moving a bit slower than they would like. All because of the difficult situation on the battlefield, in particular the significant concentration of Russian mines and constant attacks by enemy kamikaze drones.
Earlier, the representative of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Vadym Skibicki, said that Russia has currently concentrated 420,000 soldiers and weapons in Ukraine. According to experts, because much of the soil in southern Ukraine remains hard even during rain, Ukrainian troops will be able to maneuver throughout the winter.
According to U.S. Army generals, the southern front is currently in “only the 10th week of a period that will likely last at least four more months.” That is why the Ukrainian offensive may surprise critics.